UCP – 49.98% of Popular Vote and 54 seats

NDP – 44.23% of Popular Vote and 33 seats

Former Premier Notley builds on Edmonton strength and makes inroads in Calgary, if could overcome narrow deficits in a dozen ridings over Calgary, suburbs and Edmonton environs, might defy predictions.

However opinion polling, coupled with some incumbency advantage with the UCP makes this a more unlikely scenario.

UCP Projected Wins

Airdrie-Cochrane

Airdrie-East

Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock

Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul

Brooks-Medicine Hat

Calgary-Acadia

Calgary-Beddington

Calgary-Bow

Calgary-Cross

Calgary-Edgemont

Calgary-Elbow

Calgary-Fish Creek

Calgary-Foothills

Calgary-Glenmore

Calgary-Hays

Calgary-Lougheed

Calgary-North

Calgary-North West

Calgary-Peigan

Calgary-Shaw

Calgary-South East

Calgary-West

Camrose

Cardston-Siksika

Central Peace-Notley

Chestermere-Strathmore C

Cypress-Medicine Hat

Drayton Valley-Devon

Drumheller-Stettler

Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche

Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo

Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville

Grande Prairie

Grande Prairie-Wapiti

Highwood

Innisfail-Sylvan Lake

Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland

Lacombe-Ponoka

Leduc-Beaumont

Lesser Slave Lake

Lethbridge-East

Livingstone-Macleod

Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin

Morinville-St. Albert

Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills

Peace River

Red Deer-North

Red Deer-South

Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre

Spruce Grove-Stony Plain

Strathcona-Sherwood Park

Taber-Warner

Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright

West Yellowhead

***

NDP Wins

Banff-Kananaskis

Calgary-Buffalo

Calgary-Currie

Calgary-East

Calgary-Falconridge

Calgary-Klein

Calgary-McCall

Calgary-Mountain View

Calgary-North East

Calgary-Varsity

Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview

Edmonton-Castle Downs

Edmonton-City Centre

Edmonton-Decore

Edmonton-Ellerslie

Edmonton-Glenora

Edmonton-Gold Bar

Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood

Edmonton-Manning

Edmonton-McClung

Edmonton-Meadows

Edmonton-Mill Woods

Edmonton-North West

Edmonton-Riverview

Edmonton-Rutherford

Edmonton-South

Edmonton-South West

Edmonton-Strathcona

Edmonton-West Henday

Edmonton-Whitemud

Lethbridge-West

Sherwood Park

St. Albert