Party | Seats | Popular Vote |
Liberal | 176 | 41.05% |
Conservative | 132 | 39.63% |
New Democratic | 10 | 8.90% |
Bloc Quebecois | 23 | 6.10% |
Green | 2 | 1.79% |
Other | 0 | 2.51% |
Despite a near tie in the popular vote, Liberals expected to gain seats and form either a small majority or strong minority government, aided by a fairly efficient vote in Eastern Canada and gains in Quebec and British Columbia. The Conservatives, despite improving on their vote share, have a more concentrated vote in Western Canada, and less seats as a result. The New Democratic Party stands to lose official party status (12 seats minimum), as the vote coalesces around the two major parties. The Bloc is expected to see a reduction in seat count. Turnout is expected to be higher, closer to 70%, which would be one of the largest turnouts since the late 1980s.